Monday, October 12, 2009

Bags Don't Fly Free



As a frequent Southwest passenger, paying for checked baggage is not quite commonplace for me yet, since Southwest is a firm proponent of bags flying free. As any traveler is well aware, many airlines now charge an additional fee for checking baggage, averaging roughly $20 per bag. However, I was initially surprised when I recently checked in online for my US Airways flight, and was offered the option to declare the number of bags I’d be checking and thus pay a reduced price of $5 less per bag.

Although at first glance you might be tempted to think this is a classic example of price discrimination, further examination will reveal other possible explanations for this pricing disparity. If price discrimination were the sole justification for the two different prices, this would mean that US Airways is trying to extract additional consumer surplus (and thus increase profit) by segmenting the market into those who check in online and those who don’t. Based on the pricing differences, this would mean that US Airways believes that those passengers who check in online have a lower willingness to pay than those who check in at the airport.

However, there is reason to believe that many passengers who check in online might actually have higher willingness-to-pays than other passengers, as they are likely to be business travelers who are either in an office with wifi or have internet connections on their phones. Since business travelers tend to have a more inelastic demand for travel services (mostly since they do not directly incur the expense), an argument could be made that this market segmentation isn’t the most profitable.

An alternative, and more plausible, explanation for the two different prices is that US Airways is creating an incentive for passengers to declare the number of bags they’ll be checking and pay for them ahead of time. Incentives are at the core of economic analysis, so this result isn’t incredibly surprising. By charging a lower price to those passengers who “check bags” ahead of time, US Airways is inducing passengers to plan ahead. Some possible justifications for why they would want to do this are as follows:

  1. Paying for bags ahead of time reduces the wait time for passengers seeking to check in at the airport. This makes customers happy and more willing to fly US Airways, and perhaps lessens the need for extra employees working the check-in booths.

  2. If passengers declare the number of bags they are checking ahead of time, US Airways can more accurately predict the number of bags that will be on the flight and perhaps the need for overhead space in the cabin.

Discussion Questions:

1. If US Airways’s goal is to increase profits through price discrimination, is the market segmentation they are using appropriate? Can you think of any other existing ways that airlines segregate their markets?

2. How does this information friction about the price of checked bags affect efficiency in this market?

3. Can you think of other markets where different pricing mechanisms exist in order to incentivize a particular action, such as cities charging for trash removal but providing free recycling services?

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Wednesday, October 11, 2006

The Peculiar Economics of Ratings



Recently, Michelin released a new Red Guide for San Francisco. For those who are not foodies, Red Guides are Michelin’s ratings for restaurants and hotels. Their hotel ratings tend to be ignored, while the restaurant ratings are the subject of a great deal of interest and speculation, particularly in France, where the addition (or worse yet, removal) of a “star” can make or break a restaurant. The Michelin guide also raises some interesting economic questions. The peculiar economics of ratings systems has two sides—the consumer side and the supplier side.

Consumers use published ratings as an information-gathering mechanism, a way of economizing on the costly actions associated with determining the quality of a product that they wish to purchase and consume. This is especially true for goods characterized as experience goods--that is, goods for which the consumer cannot easily ascertain the product’s quality prior to purchase. It's also true for durable goods like cars, or for goods that can only be purchased once, like a college education.

The more expensive a good is, the more incentive a buyer has to invest in information gathering. A meal at the local diner may not warrant the time, money, and effort needed to determine the restaurant’s rating. For a trip out of town or a visit to an upscale restaurant, such an investment may be useful, especially because it can help to reduce the risk of a disappointing experience.

Consumers want clear, objective information from a ratings guide. Advertising cannot convey the same kind of information, since it is (appropriately) perceived to be self-serving. Yet, how much faith can we place in the (presumed) objective information from ratings services, like Michelin or the Zagat’s? Is there a potential problem with these ratings guides that can affect the quality of the information they produce?

Sellers clearly can benefit from a favorable rating in these guides--for many restaurants, it can mean a significant boost to their revenues and provide an avenue to other revenue sources (a great rating could pave the way for the chef to write a cookbook, or these days, have their own TV show). Such a system may create perverse incentives for restaurateurs. A restaurant could alter its menu offerings, change the décor, or upgrade the wine and beverages list to improve their rating, but these changes may change the qualities that originally contributed to the restaurant’s popularity among consumers. Further, this can contribute to a restaurant version of an “arms race” to be the top-rated restaurant in a given city. This may be trivial, but the same logic applies to all sellers who compete for ratings rather than consumers. It is not as trivial, for example, in the case of colleges and universities who expend resources to boost their US News rank, or in the case of schools and teachers who “teach to the test” as opposed to teaching valuable academic skills.

1. What determines how much consumers are willing to spend on a restaurant guide for a city? Would this differ between local residents and visitors?

2. How do consumer ratings differ from advertising? When could advertising provide more useful information than a ratings guide?

3. Some people decry products that are supposedly shaped to win the favor of critics; a great example of this is that many people argue that winemakers produce wines to appeal to the tastes of the powerful wine critic Robert Parker. What’s the flaw in this logic?

4. Whose ratings are more valuable—those of expert reviewers like Michelin or the accumulation of opinions from regular diners?

5. When the Michelin ratings were published, many in San Francisco objected to the rankings. Some commentators argued that the taste of the Michelin writers was different than the taste of Californians. Since not everyone's preferences are the same, does it make sense for there to be one "accepted" ranking system? Would your answer be different if the good in question were surgeons rather than restaurants? Why?

Harold Elder is a Professor of Economics at the University of Alabama. His research and teaching focuses on applied microeconomics, including law and economics, public sector economics, and a range of public policy topics. He regularly teaches Principles of Microeconomics in the College of Commerce and Business Administration and is the advisor for his university's Masters and Ph.D. programs.

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